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Archive for September, 2010

Chart Of the Day: US Dollar Index Seasonal Chart

Chart Of the Day: US Dollar Index Seasonal Chart

The US Dollar Index has shown declines throughout the month of September, providing some momentum to equity indices.   Seasonality suggests that an intermediate bottom in the US Dollar Index is near, finding a short-term low at the end of September and remaining flat to negative into Oct

09.30.2010| Situational Analysis |

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Chart of the Day: Presidential Election Cycle in the Markets

Chart of the Day: Presidential Election Cycle in the Markets

Looking to the seasonal charts pertaining to the US Presidential Cycle for the current period (mid-term election year) and the next period (pre-election year), the October lows of the present year lead into a 12-month rally before showing signs of leveling off based on historic averages. Mo

09.21.2010| Situational Analysis |

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Chart of the Day: Housing Starts Seasonality

Chart of the Day: Housing Starts Seasonality

Housing starts for August are due to be released tomorrow at 8:30am.   Market expects 550K versus 546K previous.  With the market moving potential of this economic figure, we decided to create a seasonality chart of this indicator using data from the past 50 years. Initial appea

09.20.2010| Situational Analysis |

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Chart of the Day: S&P 500 Index Comparisons to 1998

Chart of the Day: S&P 500 Index Comparisons to 1998

The year 1998 continues to keep coming up in comparative analysis performed by Tech Talk due to the equivalent upside move during the month of September thus far.   1998 was the last year in recent history (past 20 years) and one of only a few in the history of the S&P 500 that has s

09.20.2010| Situational Analysis |

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Market Sentiment: Options Activity for September 20, 2010

Market Sentiment: Options Activity for September 20, 2010

A reasonable gauge of market sentiment is the Put/Call Ratio. This is the ratio of the volume of put options to the volume of call options. Alternatively, open interest can be used in the calculation, as opposed to volume. The ratio has become a commonly used indicator to determine if investors a

09.20.2010| Market Sentiment |

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Seasonality 101: Back To The Basics of Seasonal Investing

Seasonality 101: Back To The Basics of Seasonal Investing

Investment portfolios have been hit hard this summer. Individual investors are fearful of placing assets at risk due to higher than average volatility. Equity mutual funds have not fared well with average performance year to date down 2%. The days of easy money have come to an end leaving money ma

09.17.2010| Timing The Market |

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