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Amgen Inc., The Coca-Cola Company, Rubicon Minerals Corp. – Technical Analysis

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Today’s report attempts to isolate the stocks that are just now showing the technical “buy” indicators, as opposed to the rest of the market that continues to rally on certain investor optimism.   The universe of stocks has been filtered down to identify all of the investments that have favorable MACD for an entry point, and are showing bullish indicators with respect to the relative strength index.

Highlighting: Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ:AMGN), COCA COLA CO THE (NYSE:KO), RUBICON MINL CORP COM NPV (TSE:RMX)

Markets rallied on Friday as investors fears over the employment numbers proved not to be true.  Over 64% of stocks produced gains grater than 1%, 32% above 2% and 13% above 3%.   The gains were plentiful enough to share across the board, with an average gain seen among the equities of 1.57%.   Over 76% of stocks are above their 50-Day moving average and 63% are reported as trading above their expected range as they form a new trend.   Of the 675 stocks analyzed on the S&P 500 and TSE Composite, 608 advanced, 65 declined and the last two were unchanged.  The day saw volumes of 3.8% greater than the day previous.

image  Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
Amgen Inc. (AMGN)
57.24  + 0.47 (0.83%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
55.85 56.55 56.90 57.60 57.95
Expected Short-Term Trading Range: 56.36 – 58.43
Support & Resistance Analysis Broke Lwr Resistance (1)
MACD Analysis   Negative/Increasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Bullish MA Crossover -0.079
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Neutral   52.687
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA – Crossover %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA – Crossover 75.648
Critical Level Analysis    
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of June 12 and a sell date of February 25, investors have benefited from a total return of 487.45% over the last 10 years.   This scenario has shown positive results in 6 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of May 11 and a sell date of September 14, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 239.51% with positive results in 10 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -5.81%.
Comments:

Technicals are revealing a buy opportunity at current levels and the fundamentals certainly aren’t unattractive either.  The stock has held a fairly tight trading range as of recent, which has allowed its 200-day moving average catch up to its 50-day.   Unfortunately, the seasonal strengths are not evident at this point in time, not witnessing this positive momentum until the end of June.   Options volumes paint a picture of bullish sentiment with around twice as many calls being purchased for each put.   This is more or less in-line, however, with total equity option volume at present time, so you might not consider it overly bullish at present time.

AMGN Seasonal Chart

News Headlines for Amgen Inc. (AMGN)
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image Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
COCA COLA CO THE (KO)
54.7  + 0.23 (0.42%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
54.08 54.39 54.67 54.98 55.26
Expected Short-Term Trading Range: 53.06 – 55.27
Support & Resistance Analysis Neutral  
MACD Analysis   Negative/Increasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Bullish MA Crossover -0.276
RSI Analysis   Bullish   RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Neutral   51.623
50-Day MA Analysis Below 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 66.938
Critical Level Analysis    
COCA COLA CO THE (KO) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 6 and a sell date of December 10, investors have benefited from a total return of 148.58% over the last 10 years.   This scenario has shown positive results in 5 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 15 and a sell date of May 29, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 129.64% with positive results in 10 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 22.53%.
Comments:

Having initially declined after announcing the acquisition of its bottler, Coca-Cola Enterprises, The Coca-Cola Company has rallied back significantly to put it back within the expected trading range.   I don’t think I even need to comment on the fundamentals of this powerhouse, but I will point out that the company currently has a 3.22% dividend yield at current levels.   Seasonality going forward is very positive through to the beginning of June, for an average gain of 10%.   Market sentiment using options is implying more of a bearish tone with this stock, currently at almost 1 to 1 (1 put traded for each call).   Average equity volume put/call ratio is a bullish 0.52.   The stock is currently trading within range, but the expectation is that it won’t be for long as it continues on its upward trend.

KO Seasonal Chart

News Headlines for COCA COLA CO THE (KO)
[feedsnap, 3]http://us.rd.yahoo.com/finance/news/rss/add/*http://finance.yahoo.com/rss/headline?s=KO[/feedsnap]
image Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
RUBICON MINL CORP COM NPV (RMX.TO)
4.86  + 0.23 (4.97%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
4.58 4.72 4.79 4.93 5.00
Expected Short-Term Trading Range: 4.48 – 4.88
Support & Resistance Analysis Broke Upr Resistance (2)
MACD Analysis   Negative/Increasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Bullish MA Crossover -0.018
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Neutral   54.442
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA – Crossover %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 57.143
Critical Level Analysis    
RUBICON MINL CORP COM NPV (RMX.TO) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of October 22 and a sell date of September 23, investors have benefited from a total return of 4183.7% over the last 8 years.   This scenario has shown positive results in 6 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of December 21 and a sell date of March 9, producing a total return over the same 8-year range of 957.42% with positive results in 8 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 8 years was 777.19%.
Comments:

This stock has a decent seasonal run-up in the month of March as it gains strength from the sector as a whole.   Gains of over 10% have been witnessed on average.  Analysts rate this precious metals company a buy, which is currently trading at the top of its expected trading range.

RMX.TO Seasonal Chart

News Headlines for RUBICON MINL CORP COM NPV (RMX.TO)
[feedsnap, 3]http://us.rd.yahoo.com/finance/news/rss/add/*http://finance.yahoo.com/rss/headline?s=RMX.TO[/feedsnap]
Equity Clock – By The Numbers will be offered following each trading day.
Disclosure: Mr. Vialoux does not own securities mentioned in this report.
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report at EquityClock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.
Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.

 

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